Or, at least, it will be once Tommy La Stella gets untracked. So, logic would follow, that fantasy managers can look up splits and simply draft two less sexy names and play the lineup game. Saturday brings us a full slate that's heavy on ace power, as Gerrit Cole, Max Scherzer, Kevin Gausman, Aaron Nola and Joe Musgrove are all taking the hill for their respective clubs. Making that leap, we can simply just add their stats together to create Adam Hays or Austin Duvall, right? Sports betting and gambling laws vary by jurisdiction. Time to (dis)prove that notion in this weeks hitter profiles. These rankings are now available on The Board on the 2023 Fantasy Rankings tab, where you can also see the Top 120 Dynasty Rankings!. Any balanced bench bat or a sagnof guy is good for days Duvall faces a lefty. On the pitching side, we have a nice mix of young arms with upside and less-exciting veterans in favorable spots, providing you with a variety of options to meet all of your streaming needs. When Rocker threw his fastball, opponents hit .245/.375/.429. He hasnt seen exceptional velocity this year (only 34 pitches above 93 mph this year and none above 94). The catch is that there arent generally a lot of those guys to start the season. His deep struggles against lefties remain his bugaboo (.207 BA, 1 HR, 7 RBI, .504 OPS), against whom his plate approach tanks (0.20 Eye). Abbotts low-90s fastball has the late hop to fool hitters who think they are about to square up a middle-cut fastball. WebThe official source for player hitting stats, MLB home run leaders, batting average, OPS and stat leaders Showalter praised Troy Miller following the right-handers 1 / scoreless innings against Houston. How They Do It: When Leiter commands his fastball, he presents a nearly impossible challenge thanks to the pitchs elite movement. Hitting that spot glove-side is often a challenge for pitchers, but Beck does it extremely well. This strategy can certainly work, but to your point it should be more of a plan B or in season strategy. Privacy Notice Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy Do No Sell My Info/Cookie Policy. Hitters swung and missed those out-of-zone sliders 34% of the time. He's wasted little time getting back into the swing of things, going 3-for-3 with a homer in his third start back. Hes a really advanced hitter. First Base -- Connor Joe (R), 13%, Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (RHP Zac Gallen): Speaking of Coors Field bats, Joe is another slugger to try to get into your lineup. Pujols with the Dodgers is hitting .313/.350/.625, a 155 wRC+ with nine home runs against southpaws, only one behind Max Muncy for the team lead. Cora has historically preferred to alternate lefties and right-handed hitters, especially near the top of the lineup. This exercise can help you adjust your daily lineups accordingly, and can also help you spot guys who may be one adjustment away from taking a big step forward. How He Does It: Tidwell not only possesses one of the best names in the Super Regionals, he also has one of the best fastballs (as measured by velocity). Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez pitched two scoreless innings. Staff flamethrower: Orion Kettering can touch 97-98 mph while Brad Lord can bump up to 97 mph. Split statistics are naturally flawed for fantasy analysis because they look at the pitcher being faced rather than the pitcher starting the game. But if you miss your spot out of the zone, he will most likely take it (he has good strike-zone awareness), and if you miss your spot by coming further in, hell crush it. And unless youre a potential top-10 pick, dont think that while he hits fastballs he wont hit your fastball just because its elite. Tried to keep it simple so just somebody good against lefties. Ramon Laureano (CF, OAK) is one of the best bats in the game against lefties: .365 BA, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 1.056 OPS in 63 AB. Deploying this strategy with the concept that it will work all season can provide benefit but it may not be what we expect on the surface. Your email address will not be published. But its really his changeup playing off that fastball that gives hitters fits. Many hitters have strong splits which is seen in major league lineup construction and pinch hitter selection. Longoria has torched left-handers for a .498 wOBA this season, putting him in a nice spot against Manaea, who has been tagged for a combined 15 runs over his last three starts. Outfield -- Jake Meyers (R), 3%, Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners (RHP Logan Gilbert): Meyers got the call after hitting .343/.408/.598 with 16 homers and 10 steals in 68 games at Triple-A. While we know splits will double count games, nevertheless the combination of these two gentlemen is quite intriguing. Kyle Higashioka (C, NYY) might seem like a second catcher you want to avoid, even in deep leagues (.186 BA, .678 OPS in 86 AB). Brenton is a fan of most all sports but specializes in hockey, baseball, football, basketball, and golf. Fernando Tatis Jr. was set to play his first game for San Diego after missing the 2022 season because of an injury and drug suspension. Its about driving his fastball down in the zone. Ranking the best prospects in the Detroit Tigers farm system, projecting their 2026 lineup, rotation and more. He has yet to slow down in the big leagues, hitting .333/.400/.630 with a pair of homers and a steal in his first 11 games. Throwing a changeup to Melendez is often doing him a favor. If he were to keep it up -- which, we cannot stress enough, he will not -- he'd have one of the best home hitting seasons ever compared with a road line that was something akin to Hanser Alberto's in 2020. They will generally see fastballs and sliders away. They both have cases to make as the best starting pitcher in college baseball. Sublette nibbles around the edges of the zone a lot, but his stuff can get misses and weak contact in the zone, so its not easy to be patient enough to draw a walk. Baseball America rated LAs prospect group third overall in the sports, behind the Orioles and D-backs. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. How Do You Attack Him? Lets check out those splits below. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Hes normally very pitch efficient and with the exception of a rough outing against Virginia in the ACC tournament, Notre Dame has been able to count on him to work deep into games. Hes solid against sliders, curves and changeups as well, but pitchers did have more success using those pitch types. Overall, Kavadas hit .196/.372/.464 against breaking balls and changeups and .349/.477/.895 on fastballs. The Padres are taking a flier on the 29-year-old left-handed hitter, who has batted .201/.274/.398 for three teams over the past four seasons. His fastball is arguably his best pitch, but because hitters have to be looking for it, his slider is even more effective. The left-handed slugger gets a nice park boost heading to Camden Yards, where Harvey has been blasted for a 6.60 ERA this season. But the team numbers since the beginning of August against lefties are .246/.315/.465 with a 110 wRC+. Barrero batted .303/.378/.532 with 17 dingers and 15 steals in 80 games between Double- and Triple-A. If you pitch him backwards, you have a shot as he will struggle at times with changeups and breaking balls in the zone. The Cleveland arms are just outside the top 10 in ERA, and the bats have been tied for the second-weakest. Matt made his 1st career All-Star Game in Good questions. At the end of the day, the Build-A-Hitter concept is interesting and there surely are times where it has merit, but we must be careful as it is not a one size fits all. He's an unspectacular producer when righties are on the mound: .248 BA, .747 OPS, 0.40 Eye in 117 AB. Longoria, who turns 36 in October, posted a mere 96 OPS+ in his first three years in San Francisco. Bullpen: The last-place Diamondbacks have been enjoying a nice little surge, winning six of their last seven games against the Padres and Phillies. Triston McKenzie (R), rostered in 51% of ESPN leagues, Cleveland vs. Los Angeles Angels: McKenzie's results have been a little uneven since joining Cleveland's rotation. Best way to think of the number as how many extra-bases a player averages per at-bat. First, the following bats own the widest LH/RH OPS splits: Tools. League with no cap, then you have to balance overall volume as the guys that only last 4/5 innings get capped in value. He has been an impact bat against lefties: .333 BA, 1.011 OPS in 51 AB. Here are the hitters who have posted the widest LH-RH batting eye ratio splits: Let's take a closer look at some bats who own significant lefty-righty production and batting eye splits. Sometimes relievers come out of nowhere and are either new or previously werent good but suddenly are different. Its a pair of mid-30s veterans who you probably thought were well past their primes in Longoria and Buster Posey. Even when Leiter misses his spot and throws his fastball right down the heart of the plate, its still not a fun at-bathitters hit .182/.182/.455 on fastballs right down the center. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. He's just not worth using against righties (.611 OPS, 0.31 Eye in 234 AB). For the latest team-by-team closer situations, please consult our Closer Chart. But to your points, there is a lot to optimize to make this even plausible. How Do You Attack Him? Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. How He Does It: Marceaux is a true three-pitch pitcher who doesnt allow hitters to subtract a pitch or an area of the strike zone. Like many in today's game, Voit's big issue is strikeouts. So when a hitter gets ahead in the count, he cant expect a fastball. (Ethan). Johnston throws both pitches a nearly equal amount and he actually throws his sliders for strikes a little more often than his fastball. How Do You Attack Him? Mike Trout probably isnt going to keep hitting .413. As you'd expect, there's a very strong correlation there, because when a player performs well, his team is then more likely to win. If he does, hes going to work on the outer third of the plate, staying away from both lefties and righties. He isnt helpless against breaking balls, but he did hit only .229/.308/.371 against sliders. With an over-the-top delivery, Nikhazy has figured out how to pair fastballs up in the zone with curveballs at the bottom of the zone (or just below the zone). And yet: This happened in 2020, too! He hits changeups. Did you focus on a guy whos good against lefties (like Hays)? Theres nothing Trout cant do.) Thats easier said than done, and its hard to simply look for a slider in pitcher counts when Sublette also has a mid-90s fastball. The Houston Texans are the +240 betting favorites to pick first in the 2023 NFL Draft. Castellanos is off to red-hot start for Cincinnati, with his nine home runs tying for the Franmil Reyes, OF/DH, Of the 73 fastballs he saw that were 94 mph or harder, he put five of them in play, for one single and one double. Against the 355 fastballs he saw that were 93 mph or slower, he hit .408/.523/.789. As a follow-up, this is what he's done so far in 2021. He generates plenty of ground balls. His plate discipline has been nearly as good as those stats (10% bb%, 83% ct%, 0.64 Eye). All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Why not another guy whos much stronger vs. the numerically greater righties? Our AI predicts that the San Jose Come check out today's game as the Boston Bruins take on the Calgary Flames! Now, take that concept and cut them in half. If you throw a fastball that ends up center cut instead of up and in, hell do damagehe hit .533 on balls down the middle. Adrian Morejn, a lefty who had Tommy John surgery in 2021 and threw just 34 innings out of the bullpen last season. This approach sometimes doesnt work to your advantage, but over the course of a season youll be better off putting some thought into some of those lineup decisions. Lots of high-end hurlers can sometimes make streaming bats difficult, but there are still enough low-end arms in hitter-friendly parks on Saturday that we can exploit. Or worry that he's not doing any of it against righties, who he'll see more of? Staff flamethrower: Tanner Kohlepp, Jack Brannigan and Luke Simon can all touch 97-98 mph. Absolutely nothing about that ought to be surprising. He's a really useful bat against southpaws (.357 BA, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 1.150 OPS in 28 AB). ), Top 25 Prospects For 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 50 Prospects For 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 100 Prospects For 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Steamer/Razzball 2023 Preseason Projections, Steamer/Razzball 2023 Rest of Season Projections, Relievonator (Today/Tomorrow Projections), Steamer/Razzball 2022 Rest of Season Projections. With the ability to select which games a player starts; we can take two unheralded guys (say Adam Duvall and Austin Hays) to build an all-star hitter (maybe Aaron Judge). Jason Castro (C, HOU) is a second catcher worth targeting in deep leagues. Catcher Eric Haase hit his second homer of the spring, a 426-footer that hit off the scaffolding to the right of the batter's eye in dead center. When a lefty starts a game there will be inevitable times that a righty enters from the bullpen and vice versa. PT TOMORROW: AL East Will BOS real leadoff hitter please stand up? All rights reserved. His production and plate approach are nearly identical when lefties are on the mound, too (.935 OPS, 0.50 Eye in 85 AB). More Information, Support Contact Us FAQ Education Terms Brenton is a lifelong sports fan who resides in Ontario, Canada. Dont try to feed Norby changeups awayhe hit .458/.500/.875 against changeups this year with a double and three home runs. Middle Infield -- Josh Rojas (L), 44%, Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (LHP Kyle Freeland): There's no platoon advantage here, but I'm not sure it matters, especially at Coors Field. Both his production (.487 OPS in 121 AB) and plate discipline (5% bb%, 69% ct%, 0.19 Eye) tank against same-sided arms. "LH" and "RH" ratings account only for left- and right-handed batters, respectively. Finding them early is important too. Agree 100%. Since joining the Cardinals, Happ has been nominally better with a 4.30 ERA in six starts, with six home runs allowed and a 5.38 FIP. He takes great pride in his success and loves nothing more than to share that success for the benefit of everyone involved. : Dugas is going to hit the ball hard at some point in any series. He hit .381/.466/.603 against righthanders fastballs and .353/.436/.618 against lefties fastballs. I enjoyed reading this. Analysis. : Dont throw Kavadas a fastball in the zone. It sounds so easy! Hes not as effective against curveballs (.250/.276/.571), but he did hit three doubles and two home runs off curves. Rockers curveball and slider are almost never hit hard. His fastball is hittable, but he rarely gets himself in situations where hes throwing it behind in the count to hitters looking for it. Franklin does an excellent job of catching up to velocity (.304/.500/.502 against fastballs 93-plus mph), and he is extremely dangerous against pitchers trying to work on the inside edge of the strike zone. The industry's #1 analytical weekly e-mail newsletter is ABSOLUTELY FREE! How He Does It: Sublette is an effective power reliever who will likely work extended innings in one of the first two super regional games. How He Does It: A hitter facing Nikhazy has to get used to adjusting his eye level. Chicago snagged him with the 22nd overall pick in 2021, and Montgomery has made them look smart for it, graduating three minor league levels in about 1.2 seasons of professional baseball. Facing left-handers has proven tougher for the Dodgers than righties, but only in a relative sense, and theyre getting better. For every rule, there's an exception. Shortstop -- Jose Barrero (R), 2%, Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins (RHP Zach Thompson): Barrero (formerly Jose Garcia) was recalled from Triple-A earlier this week. Duvall has been known to be a masher of right-handed pitching across his career with 115 of his 151 career long-balls coming off those poor righties with his splits being even more severe in 2021. With a hitter who hit .395 in the Southeastern Conference, youre not looking for weaknesses as much as you are areas where hes not going to hurt you as much. Staff flamethrower: Leiter and Rocker have both touched 98-99 mph this year. Hes a fierce researcher with a strong appetite to deliver accurate and relevant facts that in turn have led to past success with picks and DFS advice across the board. WebThe Padres are taking a flier on the 29-year-old left-handed hitter, who has batted .201/.274/.398 for three teams over the past four seasons. Staff flamethrower: Eric Cerantola can touch 98-99 mph and may brush 100 mph on his best days. Yes on the callups, but more often it comes from players due to role changes or doing something different. No, this ones about pitchers, and which hand theyre throwing with. If there is a single spot in the lineup and two hitters to fill, then there is no reason not to follow the splits. He gave up 12 hits on 600 breaking balls this year (.070/.091/.105). Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. A hitter doesnt really have to worry about anything else. For now, we can't expect him to do much against RHers though: .132 BA, 1 HR, 4 RBI, .424 OPS, 0.15 Eye in 53 AB. How Do You Attack Him? Uras & Syndergaard make spring debuts for Dodgers. Longoria has absolutely slammed lefties this year, better than any hitter in baseball, and by a considerable amount. When he located it in the bottom third, they hit .186/.186/.297. : Dont make mistakes trying to bust Butler inside, as Butlers power is almost entirely pull side, usually when a pitcher tries to spin a ball that allows Butler to drop the bat head. Hitters generally are less effective with two strikes, but against Hamel, they become a pitcher at the plate. Add up the stats and see where we land. How He Does It: Like a lot of three-quarter arm slot righthanders, Bednar loves to pitch in the 1:30-7:30 corridor (think of a clock face). 70 innings x 2 over a full season is a lot more helpful than doing it in August and only getting 30 combined ip. He can go down and in to righthanded hitters and he has to throw changeups down and away to lefties to keep them from sitting on his slider, but at his best, hes going to throw enough fastballs up and in to righthanded hitters to keep them from focusing on his bread and butter: sliders off the plate. Down and away in the strike zone is his happy place. Right Handed Pitchers LEGEND Stats in blue are the best hitting teams are the best and between the 75th and 100th percentile. And I have to agree. Young Want to stay up to date on all of the latest blogs, news, and Picks on The Sports Geek? How Do You Attack Him? That's enough to fire him up against Espino and his gaudy 6.18 ERA since the break. How Do You Attack Him? Hes got the most hits in the National League. Toolshed, you make a great point about finding them sooner than later. Not only is Kelly batting .348/.482/.652 versus southpaws this season, but he also gets the Coors Field bump, which is never a bad thing. He's a youngster with an intriguing skill set who hits in a strong lineup and plays in a great park for offense. Home: .400/.423/.900 -- 1.323 OPS -- 6 HRRoad: .111/.154/.222 -- .376 OPS -- 1 HR. Nearly half the time, the pitch ends up outside of the strike zone, but in 2021 hitters swung against those out-of-zone sliders 43% of the time. Of course not. Wisdom possesses big-time power from the right side and should take advantage if Bubic has another off day. There are a lot of bad outcomes for pitchers when Glenn sees a fastball as well. A wRC+ of 100 is average. Click any of the table headers to sort by that column! Progressive has generally been a somewhat neutral home run park. Kavadas hit .648 (13-for-19 with five home runs and two doubles) on 139 fastballs thrown when he was ahead in the count. Longoria was unavailable for the home opener on April 9 due to having received the COVID-19 vaccine that day; he surely would have started against lefty Austin Gomber otherwise. And most of alla tradition of winning. 2. Dont worry about Nikhazy going in and out nearly as much as him going up and down. Williams saw 55 pitches of 93-plus mph this year and he swung and missed on two of them. He only swung and missed at 27 fastballs (5%). Here's a look at Saturday's top streaming options, focusing on players rostered in fewer than 50% of ESPN leagues. And as with Quinn, he also isnt a true pinch-hitting option. RHP: .167/.216/.229 -- .445 OPS -- 0 HR. Paul Goldschmidt, for example, has a .939 OPS when the Cardinals win and a .283 OPS when they lose. How Do You Attack Him? I guess the opener strategy has one positiveit gives some players sp eligibility. They hit a robust .038 with no extra-base hits on those out-of-zone sliders. The Braves are simply too talented to keep that up for long. Alex Verdugo (LF, BOS) looks like a thumper against RHers (.331 BA, 8 HR, 25 RBI, .959 OPS in 166 AB), and he does it without sacrificing his plate skills (10% bb%, 89% ct%, 1.00 Eye). by Retrosheet. Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images The past data agrees with this, as do most (if not all) coaches and past players. Vs. LHP: .042/.042/.083 -- .125 OPS -- 0 HRVs. When the injured Adalberto Mondesi returns to play shortstop, it might free up Nicky Lopez to move back to second and push Whit Merrifield back to right, though that would leave the defensively-limited O'Hearn without a home. Fastballs up and in paired with sliders away are an effective way for righties to try to disrupt him. It happens all of the time. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. (All stats current entering Monday nights games.). So as a hitter, dont fall behind. As fun as statistics are, they can always be used to tell a story and that is what we did here. It's true that Lauer is often just picking on bad offenses, as a whopping seven of his last eight starts have come against the Pirates, Royals or Rockies, but when you're exclusively using a guy as a streamer, there's nothing wrong with that. Reid Detmers (L), 5%, Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland: After getting roughed up by the Athletics and Dodgers in his first two big-league starts, Detmers rebounded his last time out, holding the Astros to just one run over six frames, adding six strikeouts. 25 players are tied for the best career batting average against left-handed pitchers, with an average of 1.000. It's mostly about "hitting the ball hard in the air" in Cleveland as opposed to "softly and on the ground" on the road. And he has done so while showing elite plate skills (11% bb%, 90% ct%, 1.20 Eye). All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Relief pitcher usage is also fluid. Teel showed a significant platoon advantage against righties, but So has Luke Murphy. Chris Taylor at SS, Dustin May makes spring debut. Davis, FACTS/FLUKES: Machado, Gallen, McMahon, Lauer, Longoria, FACTS/FLUKES: Jansen, J. Bez, S. 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