The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. The Twitter handle is a joke. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. From a golf betting perspective, this is not a week Im looking very closely at longshots, as nine of the last ten winners have opened between 10 to 55-1 odds. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Looking at past winners, the average winning odds of the last five winners is +15900, with Jim Herman being the longest in 2020 at +60000 and Henrik Stenson having the shortest odds in 2017 at +1400. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. World No. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Skip to main content. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Tee times in this area. At the British Open, four of Holliman's picks finished in the top eight, including Dustin Johnson (35-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (35-1). ESPN+. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Last weeks champion and new World No. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. That set up is not especially conducive to betting longshots, however there are still high upside sleepers in this field worth consideration for placement bets and your DFS lineups. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Its a good number if nothing else. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Full Leaderboard . Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. The 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, Other top contenders in the 2023 Arnold Palmer field include McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. 2nd Chance Bet Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. After missing the cut at the WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the Genesis Invitational in his last start. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? $1,200 in Bonus Bets. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Houston Open: Jason Day. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Shipping on most Impact Label products Hes not backing down. ESPN+. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. Who are you taking? Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Audience ages 21+ floor and solid placement consideration this week with the star-studded 2023 Palmer! 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